Housing starts decline 5.4 percent in April

Following exceptionally strong production in this year's first quarter that was driven in part by very good weather conditions, nationwide housing starts retreated 5.4 percent in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.56 million units, according to the Commerce Department.

The shortfall occurred mostly in the multifamily sector, where production often fluctuates widely on a month-to-month basis.

"After the first few months of this year, when unseasonably warm and dry weather and historically low interest rates combined to help housing buoy the national economy, some downward adjustment was to be expected in housing production. But our latest surveys of single-family builders indicate no shortfall in buyer demand or builder confidence. And we are still on track to build slightly more than the 1.6 million units we did last year," said Gary Garczynski, president of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).

"Today's numbers are certainly no cause for alarm," added NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders. "With interest rates on long-term mortgages still below 7 percent, and with the economy on a recovery path, the market for new homes is in very good shape. Although rental vacancy rates have been rising during the past year as large numbers of renters have shifted to first-time homeownership, we expect job growth to help support the multifamily market as the economic recovery proceeds."

Single-family housing starts fell by a marginal 2 percent in April, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.27 million units, while multifamily starts declined 18.1 percent to 285,000 units. The shortfall occurred primarily in the Northeast and Midwest, where extraordinarily good weather spurred big gains earlier in the year. Those regions registered declines of 24 percent and 19.5 percent, respectively, while the West showed a 5.8 percent decline and the South posted a 5.6 percent increase.

Housing permits, which can be an indicator of future building activity, were virtually unchanged in April at a rate of 1.63 million units. Single-family permits were up 1.6 percent to a 1.27 million-unit rate, while multifamily permits were down almost 4 percent to a rate of 366,000.

600450 Housing starts decline 5.4 percent in April glassonweb.com
Date: 23 May 2002
Source: Fenestration

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